Polar vortex status

The SPV is currently weaker than ERA5 average and is forecasted to remain weaker than average (according to GEFS-mean) 3 of 31 members have stronger vortex than average at the last forecast step (2026-03-19T12:00:00) The SSW probability in GEFS is: 100%. The zonal mean zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N is today (GFS analysis): 0.6 m/s Weakest zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N in ERA5 record for todays date is: -12.4 m/s 1999 Strongest zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N in ERA5 record for todays date is: 47.8 m/s 1994