Polar vortex status

The SPV is currently weaker than ERA5 average
but is forecasted to become stronger than average (according to GEFS-mean)
25 of 31 members have stronger vortex than average at the last forecast step (2024-10-27 18:00:00)

The SSW probability in GEFS is: 0%

The zonal mean zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N is today (GFS analysis): 12.5 m/s
Weakest zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N in ERA5 record for todays date is: 9.3 m/s 2003
Strongest zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N in ERA5 record for todays date is: 24.0 m/s 1988


- -

- - -

-