Polar vortex status

The SPV is currently stronger than ERA5 average
and is forecasted to remain stronger than average (according to GEFS-mean)
26 of 31 members have stronger vortex than average at the last forecast step (2024-12-23 12:00:00)

The SSW probability in GEFS is: 0%

The zonal mean zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N is today (GFS analysis): 49.2 m/s
Weakest zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N in ERA5 record for todays date is: -0.7 m/s 1987
Strongest zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N in ERA5 record for todays date is: 53.3 m/s 2015


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