Polar vortex status

The SPV is currently weaker than ERA5 average
but is forecasted to become stronger than average (according to GEFS-mean)
31 of 31 members have stronger vortex than average at the last forecast step (2024-11-06 00:00:00)

The SSW probability in GEFS is: 0%

The zonal mean zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N is today (GFS analysis): 19.3 m/s
Weakest zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N in ERA5 record for todays date is: 9.9 m/s 2006
Strongest zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N in ERA5 record for todays date is: 27.1 m/s 1998


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